SMSA
Forcasting the Future
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FORECASTING THE FUTURE

A Manager's Guide to Program Health and Sustainability


PROFESSIONAL DEVELOPMENT WORKSHOP SURVEY RESULTS

Surveys distributed 45
Surveys returned 26
Rate

57.78%

States with Mission Statements 88%
States with Web sites

70%

Target Audience  
     Beginning Riders 56%
     All Riders 44%
Ave. Annual Rate of Turnover - Instructors 10.26%
Ave. Annual Rate of Growth - Instructors 10.65% 1
Ave. Percentage Active to All instructors 86.4%
Ave. No. of Range Groups Taught/Inst/Year 8.4
Students Trained per Active Instructor 41.4
Reasons for Instructor Turnover, by Ranking
  1. Life Changes

  2. Relocation

  3. Burnout

 
Average No. Instructors to Chief Instructors 39.8

Top Challenges in Order of Priority

  1. Unmet Demand

  2. Money

  3. Sites

  4. Instructors

  5. Restrictive Legislation

  6. Bikes

  7. Staff/Contractors where Needed

  8. Product (Curricula)


Average Rates of Growth 2

  • Training - '97-01
    • Beginning                  15.55%
    • Experienced                9.42%
  • Registrations - '96-00               4.24%
  • Riders Trained '01 to Registered Motorcycles
    • Basic Riders Only                 4.3%
    • Experienced Riders Only     .339
    • All Riders Trained                  4.64

1This figure represents instructor corps growth and reported turnover.

2 State and MIC data



Comments from Surveys - Other Factors Impeding Ability to Meet Mission

  • Weather
  • The need of additional instructors to continue to meet the increasing number of students
  • Training locations, instructors and money
  • 1.Lack of priority within state government agencies. 2. Lack of priority within federal government agencies. 3. Resources from motorcycle manufacturers being mis-directed from state program needs to motorcycle sales promotion through the MIC and MSF. 4. Lack of training facilities.
  • 1. Student registration process. 2. State budget concerns and understaffing. 3. Fleet replacement.
  • In addition to the people trained in our hands on program, its important to note that additional people were trained in our classroom only course. I believe this is an oversight in your survey. 1996 - 3,380; 1997 - 2,813; 1998 - 3,560; 1999 - 3,364
  • Programs such as Riders Edge Not owning training facility
  • Geography
  • Site Locations
  • Reaching riders
  • Government methods
  • Private contractors more concerned with profit motives than quality. Bureaucracy within the state government.
  • 1) Infrastructure development is needed at a pace exceeding our ability to keep up with demand. 2) In the next couple of years, the lack of support for the MRC:RSS by MSF.
  • All of the items in "L" apply. 1. More money can get us more bikes and staff (maybe). 2. We have more demand that we can hope to train with our existing sites. 3. Legislation/administrative rules are acceptable. 4. The conversion to the BRC in 2003 will greatly tax our already overworked staff. We have 300 instructors to update and 70 ranges to repaint. We need more instructors but cannot train anymore until 2004 and at the same time we expect the demand for training to increase some 30% over 2001 to nearly 23,000 students.
  • Getting the legislators to release funds from the motorcycle account to purchase new equipment. Funds are non-lapsing and there sufficient funds in the motorcycle account, but the legislators will not authorize release of monies from the account to purchase bikes.

Overview

Ratio of Students Trained to Licensed Motorcycles, 2000
2001 Rate of Active Instructors
Rate of Students Trained to Active Instructors
Rate of Instructors to CIs
Rate of Instructor Turnover
2001 Range of Assignments to Instructor
Rate of Students Trained to Registered Motorcycles
Rate of Growth Instructor Cadre 2000 - 2001
Growth of Experienced Rider Training 1997 - 2000
Growth of Beginning Rider Training 1997 - 2001
Training and Registration Growth 1996 - 2001



Ratio ST to Licensed Motorcycle
Active Instructors
ST to Instructors
Rate CIs to Instructors
Rate of Turnover
Inst Range Ratio
Riders Trained to Registrations
Rate of Inst Growth
Growth of Experienced Rider Training 1997 - 2000
Growth of Beginning Rider Training 1997 - 2001
Training and Registration Growth 1996 - 2001